Franklin Central
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #6
Rushville Regional Rank #1
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 8th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 59.6%
Advance to State Finals 76.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Marion County Championship Brownsburg Invitational Ben Davis Invite New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/5 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 258 522 188 247 606 196 216 250 737 299 336 269 323
Team Adjusted Rating 266 188 232 284 196 216 250 258 285 336 269 323
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Marion County Championship Brownsburg Invitational Ben Davis Invite New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
10  Brayden Henkle 12 15:42 15:56 15:54 15:52 15:50 15:40 15:43 16:07 16:10 15:59 15:36
67  Evan Farmer 10 16:21 16:33 16:13 16:14 16:11 16:23 16:24 16:25 16:31 16:12 16:38
104  Joseph Ashman 11 16:36 16:23 16:20 16:23 16:29 16:34 16:41 16:47 16:40 16:52
174  Justin Reedus 9 16:56 17:03 17:24 17:15 17:16 17:15 16:53 17:14 17:00 16:53 16:55 16:49
192  Kade McDermott 11 17:00 17:08 16:27 16:52 16:24 16:39 16:48 18:09 17:40 17:33
232  Moses Stevenson 9 17:09 16:44 16:48 16:51 17:13 17:21 17:48
233  Emilio Leal 10 17:09 16:36 16:38 16:44 17:19 16:43 17:00 17:16 17:32 17:07 18:18
314  Deacon Hall 12 17:19 17:44 17:17 17:34 17:39 17:27 17:14 17:12 17:17
326  Owen Lackey 12 17:21 17:16 17:14 18:20 18:04 17:37 17:20 17:49 17:11 17:12 17:38
584  Alex Forey 12 17:52 17:38 17:52 17:57 17:58 17:26 17:58 17:54
603  Quinton Weflen 12 17:54 18:53 17:36 17:18 18:07 18:26
731  Jonathan Reid 12 18:05 18:16 18:17 17:52 18:10 17:59
786  Cooper Trout 9 18:11 17:37 18:21 18:23
881  Drew Wright 9 18:20 17:26 18:28 18:26 18:23
James Mehrlich 9 19:05 18:54 19:11 19:10
Isaac Vivo 11 19:43 20:48 19:52 22:38 19:14 18:56
Josh Lasley 9 19:53 18:52 19:27 19:40 20:57 20:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 76.0% 8.8 282 0.1 0.5 2.0 7.9 12.3 13.2 12.8 10.8 7.0 4.6 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 6.1 198 0.0 0.3 2.2 21.5 51.9 15.1 5.7 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 33 98.1 1.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 33 98.2 1.7 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Henkle 100.0% 12.8 0.2 0.9 2.2 3.6 4.4 5.1 5.6 5.2 5.3 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.2 4.3 3.9 4.0 3.4 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.4 1.9 1.6 99.9% 100.0%
Evan Farmer 78.2% 61.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.3% 42.0%
Joseph Ashman 76.1% 90.0 0.3% 6.8%
Justin Reedus 76.0% 122.4 0.0% 0.1%
Kade McDermott 76.0% 129.3 0.0% 0.0%
Moses Stevenson 76.0% 143.9 0.0% 0.0%
Emilio Leal 76.0% 143.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Henkle 100% 7.8 0.2 1.2 3.8 8.8 9.7 10.2 9.3 8.5 8.1 7.7 6.6 5.1 4.3 3.5 2.8 2.5 2.1 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Evan Farmer 100% 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.0 100.0%
Joseph Ashman 100% 47.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Justin Reedus 100% 68.7 100.0%
Kade McDermott 100% 73.1 100.0%
Moses Stevenson 100% 82.7 100.0%
Emilio Leal 100% 82.6 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Henkle 100% 1.0 55.0 42.0 2.6 0.4 100.0%
Evan Farmer 100% 4.0 0.7 24.0 25.1 35.5 11.4 2.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Joseph Ashman 100% 5.9 0.0 0.6 5.4 12.7 34.5 27.2 11.2 4.6 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Justin Reedus 100% 9.9 0.2 1.1 6.6 13.2 15.7 15.4 13.5 11.5 8.7 6.0 3.7 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kade McDermott 100% 11.2 0.1 0.4 3.0 7.0 10.9 12.5 13.1 13.4 11.9 9.9 7.3 4.7 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Moses Stevenson 100% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.4 6.8 9.4 11.3 13.1 13.3 13.0 8.9 6.4 3.4 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 100.0%
Emilio Leal 100% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.2 6.3 8.9 11.6 13.4 14.0 12.1 9.7 6.1 3.7 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Henkle 1.0 54.3 42.6 2.7 0.4 0.0
Evan Farmer 4.0 0.7 24.2 25.0 36.0 11.7 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Joseph Ashman 5.8 0.8 5.3 13.5 36.2 30.2 9.1 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Justin Reedus 9.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 8.2 17.9 19.0 15.8 13.1 9.9 7.1 4.1 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kade McDermott 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.3 9.6 14.5 15.5 15.1 13.4 10.9 7.9 4.7 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Moses Stevenson 13.1 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.3 6.5 9.3 12.6 14.7 14.8 14.6 9.8 5.6 2.9 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Emilio Leal 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.6 6.6 9.6 12.5 13.9 14.9 14.3 10.3 5.3 3.1 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0